treasury constant maturity 5 year projection - SERP Analysis

https://econforecasting.com/forecast/t05y

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS5

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII5

http://www.forecasts.org/5yrT.htm

https://www.bankrate.com/rates/interest-rates/5-year-treasury-bill/

https://ycharts.com/indicators/5_year_treasury_rate

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US5Y

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/5-year-treasury-inflation-indexed-security-constant-maturity-percent-d-na-fed-data.html

https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value_month=202505

https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/

https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/financing-the-government/interest-rate-statistics/interest-rates-frequently-asked-questions

https://www.economy.com/united-states/interest-rates-treasury-constant-maturities-nominal-5-year

https://econforecasting.com/forecast/t10y

https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/financing-the-government/interest-rate-statistics

https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value_month=202406

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/5-year-treasury-constant-maturity-rate-percent-m-na-fed-data.html

https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/fixed-income/cmtn5y

https://www.statista.com/statistics/247565/monthly-average-10-year-us-treasury-note-yield-2012-2013/

https://www.financialresearch.gov/short-term-funding-monitor/datasets/tyld/

https://www.hsh.com/mortgage-rates/arm-indices/treasury-securities-weekly-values.html

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1057521923003447

https://treasurydirect.gov/marketable-securities/understanding-pricing/

https://content.csbs.utah.edu/~lozada/IniYld_3p.pdf

https://ycharts.com/indicators/10_year_treasury_rate

https://www.rba.gov.au/education/resources/explainers/bonds-and-the-yield-curve.html

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/bond/BX/TMUBMUSD05Y?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=ASWzDAi2rbNTA9VJkj8NmIJAraZD-pZdFHWKzsiAez5hmQxyvFapseXSSOdN&gaa_ts=685a2994&gaa_sig=Wrm9NaUhfVf5rqen0xJ1NB4Ks46KgT5dTiDX7typubRbVLOSfB4U8K6Uj3UNSZREMPypQ1gfWjBOzskixjz1SA%3D%3D

https://www.frbsf.org/research-and-insights/data-and-indicators/treasury-yield-premiums/

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID291689_code011130670.pdf?abstractid=291689&mirid=1

https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1057/9780230295223_1

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ETNX/

https://www.irs.gov/retirement-plans/weighted-average-interest-rate-table

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/financial_markets_and_interest_rates/euro_area_yield_curves/html/index.en.html

https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/ycfaq

https://assets.bbhub.io/professional/sites/10/Bloomberg-Index-Publications-Fixed-Income-Index-Methodology.pdf

https://www.clevelandfed.org/publications/economic-commentary/2018/ec-201806-can-yield-curve-inversions-be-predicted

https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2019/article/inflation-expectations-and-inflation-realities.htm

https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/treasury-securities-yields/treasury-bonds-yield-constant-maturity-nominal-ma-30-years

https://www.ssrn.com/abstract=4780234

https://www.wunc.org/2025-06-18/cloudy-with-a-chance-of-showers-feds-economic-forecast-coming-today

https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w30749/w30749.pdf

https://www.bis.org/publ/work415.pdf

https://www.capitalforlife.com/glossary/5-year-constant-maturity-treasury-rate

https://public.com/treasury-yield-curve

https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/FRED-T10Y2Y/ideas/?sort=recent&video=yes

https://www.troweprice.com/en/us/insights/could-a-5-percent-10-year-treasury-yield-be-around-the-corner

https://corporate.vanguard.com/content/corporatesite/us/en/corp/vemo/vemo-return-forecasts.html

https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/FRED-T10Y2Y/ideas/

https://www.mtpr.org/2025-06-18/cloudy-with-a-chance-of-showers-all-eyes-on-feds-economic-forecast-today

https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/ftpdocs/88xx/doc8842/12-21-10-yr_rates.pdf

https://portfoliooptimizer.io/blog/the-bogle-model-for-bonds-predicting-the-returns-of-constant-maturity-government-bond-etfs/

https://www.dol.gov/agencies/ebsa/laws-and-regulations/rules-and-regulations/advanced-notices-of-proposed-rulemaking/lifetime-income-calculator

https://afajof.org/management/viewp.php?n=42056

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yield_curve

https://www.oregon.gov/puc/forms/Forms%20and%20Reports/Modified-Blended-Treasury-MBT.pdf

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/03/122203.asp

https://www.imf.org/external/np/seminars/eng/2015/secularstag/pdf/Gozluklu.pdf

https://www.columbiathreadneedleus.com/insights/latest-insights/chart-the-fed-funds-rate-vs.-10-year-treasuries

http://www.csun.edu/~zz1802/Finance%20303/Web-Stuff/Lecture-Notes-Mid2.pdf

https://www.ketr.org/2025-06-18/cloudy-with-a-chance-of-showers-feds-economic-forecast-coming-today

https://www.wvtf.org/2025-06-18/fed-holds-interest-rates-steady-signals-rate-cuts-of-0-5-later-this-year

https://www.wamc.org/2025-06-18/fed-holds-interest-rates-steady-signals-rate-cuts-of-0-5-later-this-year

https://www.kacu.org/2025-06-18/fed-holds-interest-rates-steady-signals-rate-cuts-of-0-5-later-this-year

https://www.wuft.org/2025-06-18/cloudy-with-a-chance-of-showers-all-eyes-on-feds-economic-forecast-today

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_yield_curve

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o3LRqc6N9y4&pp=0gcJCdgAo7VqN5tD

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/06/invertedyieldcurve.asp

https://www.clevelandfed.org/-/media/project/clevelandfedtenant/clevelandfedsite/publications/working-papers/2022/wp-2205-forecasting-us-inflation-using-bayesian-nonparametric-models-pdf.pdf

https://www.statista.com/statistics/275190/ten-year-treasury-constant-maturity-rate-in-the-united-states-as-of-2009/

https://www.federalreserve.gov/feeds/h15.html

https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-tege/epchd1104.pdf

https://www.wglt.org/2025-06-18/fed-holds-interest-rates-steady-signals-rate-cuts-of-0-5-later-this-year

https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-report/2024/february-2024

https://www.whro.org/2025-06-18/fed-holds-interest-rates-steady-signals-rate-cuts-of-0-5-later-this-year

https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61270

https://www.ctpublic.org/2025-06-18/fed-holds-interest-rates-steady-signals-rate-cuts-of-0-5-later-this-year

https://fastercapital.com/content/Interpreting-Constant-Maturity-as-an-Economic-Indicator.html

https://www.wunc.org/2025-06-18/fed-holds-interest-rates-steady-signals-rate-cuts-of-0-5-later-this-year

https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2024/11/outlook-for-farmland-values-in-2025.html

https://www.jstor.org/stable/2328836

https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2021/04/22/blog-understanding-the-rise-in-long-term-rates

https://www.soa.org/globalassets/assets/Files/Research/Projects/research-2016-economic-scenario-generators.pdf

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EFVX/

https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates

https://www.economy.com/united-states/interest-rates-treasury-constant-maturities-nominal-3-month

https://www.tradeweb.com/our-markets/institutional/rates/constant-maturity-treasury-rates/

https://tr.tradingview.com/scripts/yieldcurve/

https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value_month=202205.

https://analystprep.com/study-notes/frm/part-1/valuation-and-risk-management/multi-factor-risk-metrics-and-hedges/

https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/fixed-income/cmtn5y/historical

https://journal.firsttuesday.us/current-market-rates/3832/

https://askfilo.com/user-question-answers-smart-solutions/consider-the-monthly-u-s-1-year-and-3-year-treasury-constant-3331313638383035

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US2Y

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/bonds/treasuries?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=ASWzDAihMmqWFjZMfxqJWvbAP2noDrrUAkkWxGYsR4T52Up2V0gGs-KoakdU&gaa_ts=685a2994&gaa_sig=0fd1cTMo6Y5ow44y2RUzuuX8gq3xIc0jctWg6TkMXksaJO8YSAvTuo_L3aZ8zc1IeZfD0H1xdI4YesLXXnW_qQ%3D%3D

https://www.bis.org/publ/work703.pdf

https://www.npr.org/2025/06/18/nx-s1-5435683/fed-june-meeting-rate-economy

https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/5-year-treasury-rate-forecast/

https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/average-interest-rates-treasury-securities/

https://www.wuwm.com/category/economy-business/2025-06-18/cloudy-with-a-chance-of-showers-all-eyes-on-feds-economic-forecast-today

https://www.usbank.com/investing/financial-perspectives/market-news/treasury-yields-invert-as-investors-weigh-risk-of-recession.html